Yemen’s Instability Threatens Saudi Arabia
A comprehensive round up, but I dont think its a full blown proxy war yet because Iran is not funneling vast amounts of money the way the Saudis are. It could become one.
Sept. 9 (Bloomberg) – Yemeni MiG-29 fighter jets roar through the skies daily above the country’s capital of Sana’a as they fly north to bomb rebel positions on the Saudi border.
They are part of Yemen’s intensified drive to crush Shiite Muslim insurgents, whom it says are backed by Iran. Iran is Saudi Arabia’s main regional rival; Yemen is a Saudi ally.
At the same time, al-Qaeda is using bases in Yemen to launch terror strikes at Saudi Arabia and at Western interests. Last month it tried to assassinate the top Saudi anti-terrorist official, Prince Muhammad bin Nayef bin Abdel Aziz, and Yemeni police detained four men with explosives and weapons outside the U.S. Embassy in Sana’a, officials said late yesterday. President Barack Obama promised to help boost Yemen’s security earlier this week.
Saudi King Abdullah may decide to intervene militarily if the conflict on his border threatens to spread to the country’s own disaffected Shiite minority in the eastern oil-producing region, said Mustafa Alani, a regional security expert at the Dubai-based Gulf Research Center.
“If you have a terrorist issue and a rebellion that is unfriendly to Saudi Arabia, that is a recipe for disaster for the Saudis,” said Rochdi Younsi, head of Middle East research at the New York-based Eurasia Group.
The conflict in Yemen may also be part of a pattern of confrontation between Iran and Saudi Arabia as the two vie for regional pre-eminence. They already are engaged in a proxy battle for influence in Lebanon and are at odds over Iraq and possible Iranian efforts to exploit dissatisfaction among the Shiite communities in other Arab Persian Gulf states.
No Collaboration
There is no collaboration between the local Shiite Houthi rebels and the al-Qaeda militants who are operating in Yemen, said Rohan Gunaratna, head of the Singapore-based International Center for Political Violence and Terrorism Research. The Yemeni government is making use of radical Sunni tribesmen to fight the Shiite Houthi rebels and these Sunnis could be recruited by al- Qaeda, a Sunni group which is hostile to the Shiites, he said. (Read on …)



