First an oped from the Yemen Post: Government Lying to the Media
Since the kidnapping of the group of nine foreigners took place last week, the government has been denying that the remaining six missing are dead. Independent and official sources in Sa’ada reported that the bodies of the foreigners, who the government claims are still missing, were seen dead in the streets of Sa’ada.
What would make the government hide the news that all the foreigners are dead? (ed- I dont agree that this is necessarily the case, but the Yemeni government is for sure obfuscating .) The strategy the government is using is to wait until the crisis is given less media attention and then announces the death of all the foreigners, therefore, making it less of international news.
That is the same reason the government blamed Houthi militants for the attacks and not tribesmen or Al-Qaeda. Both have histories of kidnapping and killing foreigners, but the government blamed Houthis because it would be more of a local problem.
If Al-Qaeda was blamed, the country would automatically be given international media attention, and western countries would immediately announce that Yemen is a safe haven for Al-Qaeda.
Now thats a damned good question right there, why would the Yemeni government lie to the media and to the international community? The confusion, contradictory statements and the strong push to blame the rebels has not aided the investigation. There’s quite a few possibilities.
1- the drug smugglers are usually regime affiliated, and the Houthis have hindered their trade since the cease fire when the rebels assumed control of some areas. The first possibility is: regime affiliated drug dealers kidnapped the medical workers, which was the first story on the streets, in a bid to restart the war or to negotiate for a seized drug shipment.
2- the Salafi mosque preachers (who were actively instigating against the medical workers) were doing so at the behest of the regime itself (just like the preachers agitate against the southerners etc.)
3- with the harshly critical international reports about the government denying aid groups access to internally displaced persons in Sa’ada, the regime is trying to get the aid groups to leave voluntarily. Why the Sa’ada region is closed off to all media and outsiders since 2004 may be due to several factors- the regime affiliated al Qaeda presence, the government attacks on civilians, criminal activities and smuggling into Saudi and the other things in Sa’ada they wish to hide.
4- the non-blaming of al Qaeda may be related to the fact that the al Qaeda in Sa’ada are all working for and/or associated with the regime and Ali Mohsen al Ahmar, so even if they did it, the regime would try to hide it, as opposed to other situations where the regime blames al Qaeda as a strawman just to get international support. I know the world is mesmerized by that al Qaeda bit of bling known as al Wahishi; however, the extremists in Sa’ada are not under al Wahishi, its a distinct group (not just fighters) and well entrenched and supported.
5- the blaming of the Houthis would take some pressure off the Yemeni regime when they resume the war. If the rebels are cast as such inhumane creatures as to murder nurses in cold blood, then few will care when the Yemeni military starts bombing villages and blockading food again. The biggest kidnapper historically in Yemen by far is the Yemeni government, but often they operate by proxy.
6- the Yemeni government lies so much, they don’t know how to tell the truth. Seriously there hasn’t been a fully truthful Yemeni government statement about the Sa’ada War, the Southern Mobility, the attacks on journalists, the budget, etc. for years. Al Qaeda operatives are out of jail when they are supposed to be in, announced as being hunted when in fact they receive military salaries, announced as dead when they are in fact living. You have to read the government newspaper standing on your head for it to make sense.
7- it was well planned and with all the obfuscating, the regime is giving cover, in which case the hostages would be alive, possibly in Saudi Arabia or with some drug smugglers.
Time will tell. God protect them.
Its not beyond the realm of possibility that whoever kidnapped the medical workers would be willing to give them back once that becomes to the strong advantage of Saleh’s regime. They could be somewhere with some rather confused persons who didnt expect this level of blowback. However, it seems rather likely that someone in the Yemeni government knows more than they are saying.